StatSheet Projects Mississippi State as NCAA Tournament Six Seed: 02/10/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 10th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting Mississippi State to make the NCAA Tournament as a six seed. The Bulldogs are the #20 team in the AP Poll and sit at #28 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-5 overall record and a 6-3 record in the SEC.

During the last four games, Mississippi State was steady with wins against Ole Miss, Auburn, and LSU but also suffered a loss to AP #8 Florida.

Mississippi State is average against top competition, with a 6-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 50 but an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Bulldogs boast three quality wins including RPI #25 Vanderbilt, RPI #29 Alabama, and RPI #34 West Virginia with no bad losses to speak of.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #42), Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #65), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Colorado (16-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #71), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #69), Ole Miss (14-9, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #68), and Oregon (17-7, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70).

The next four out are Arizona (17-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #67), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #48), and Xavier (16-8, 7-3 A-10, StatRank #61).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12MTSU
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Murray State
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Gonzaga
#9Seton Hall
#10Illinois
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13Brigham Young
#14Iona
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Miami (FL)
#9West Virginia
#10Memphis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Long Beach State
#14Nevada
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Northwestern
#9Wichita State
#10Notre Dame
#11Saint Louis
#12Oral Roberts
#13Texas
#14Purdue
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast3 933.3%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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SEC Standings

OverallConf
1 Kentucky 38-2 16-0
2 Florida 26-11 10-6
2 Vanderbilt 25-11 10-6
2 Tennessee 19-15 10-6
5 Alabama 21-12 9-7
 6MState 21-12 8-8
6 Ole Miss 20-14 8-8
8 LSU 18-15 7-9
9 Arkansas 18-14 6-10
10 Auburn 15-16 5-11
10 Georgia 15-17 5-11
12 South Carolina 10-21 2-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#3 Dee Bost Sr G 6-2 176
#22 Brian Bryant Sr G 6-3 168
#11 Reed Clayton So G 5-9 146
#24 T. Cunningham So G 6-3 191
#4 Rodney Hood Fr G 6-8 204
#25 Roquez Johnson Fr F 6-7 204
#30 Wendell Lewis Jr C 6-9 260
#21 Shawn Long Fr F 6-10 249
#20 Taylor Luczak Sr F 6-8 195
#23 Arnett Moultrie Jr F 6-11 249
#12 Charles Parker Jr G 5-10 168
#15 Baxter Price Jr G 5-10 159
#1 Renardo Sidney Jr F 6-10 280
#33 Deville Smith Fr G 5-11 165
#10 Shaun Smith So G 6-6 203
#0 Jalen Steele So G 6-3 194
#13 K. Zeidaks So F 6-8 230